Putin's Winning Strategy? How Western Inaction Could Seal Ukraine's Fate

Russian President Vladimir Putin's strategic gamble that the West, primarily the United States, will succumb to weariness in the ongoing Ukrainian conflict appears increasingly plausible.

by Faruk Imamovic
SHARE
Putin's Winning Strategy? How Western Inaction Could Seal Ukraine's Fate
© Getty Images News

Russian President Vladimir Putin's strategic gamble that the West, primarily the United States, will succumb to weariness in the ongoing Ukrainian conflict appears increasingly plausible. This situation unfolds against a backdrop of stalled American financial support for Ukraine, raising concerns about the global standing and commitment of the U.S.

Nearly seven weeks have passed since U.S. President Joe Biden requested a substantial aid package for Ukraine, totaling $60 billion, alongside an additional $14 billion for Israel. However, the aid has been ensnared in a political quagmire, with Republicans linking it to an unrelated immigration dispute.

Jake Sullivan, Biden's national security adviser, expressed urgency, noting the dwindling funds and time. He pointedly suggested that opposing the aid aligns lawmakers with Putin's strategic interests. The gravity of the situation was further emphasized by Shalanda Young, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, in a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson.

She cautioned that halting U.S. military support could severely undermine Ukraine's position on the battlefield, potentially leading to Russian military successes.

A Global Leadership Test: The U.S. Commitment to Ukraine

The delay in aid not only jeopardizes Ukraine's survival but also tests the reliability of the United States as a global leader.

Recent assurances by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to Ukrainian President Zelensky about long-term U.S. support are now under scrutiny. The political landscape in the U.S., especially considering the potential return of former President Donald Trump, who is perceived as more accommodating to Putin, adds to the uncertainty.

Ukraine's ambassador to the U.S., Oksana Markarova, has appealed for continued support, stressing the critical juncture at which Ukraine finds itself. Similarly, Republican Sen. Jim Risch of Idaho, a member of the Intelligence and Foreign Relations committees, warned at the Halifax International Security Forum about Putin's belief in his eventual victory through endurance.

Ret. US Army Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges also emphasized the keen observation by Moscow of every development in Western capitals, particularly in the U.S. Congress. The implication is clear: The West's response, or lack thereof, to Ukraine's plight is not just about immediate military outcomes but also about long-term geopolitical dynamics and the credibility of the U.S. as a steadfast ally.

Ukraine Vladimir Putin United States
SHARE