British Telegraph: European peace is over, we must prepare urgently for defense

The reputable British newspaper Telegraph presented its analysis of the geopolitical situation in the world, and their claims are frightening to say the least, Europe and the USA must "wake up"

by Sededin Dedovic
British Telegraph: European peace is over, we must prepare urgently for defense
© Christopher Furlong / Getty Images

Decades of complacency are slowly fading, giving way to tangible reality. Not only do autocratic regimes show no signs of transitioning to democracy and liberalism, but the geopolitical scene is turning into an increasingly dangerous battlefield.

New right-wing politicians are appearing all over the European Union, in some countries they rule, and in others they are constantly climbing every election, waiting for their chance. Probably, if they were the majority in the European Union and if they came to the head of some of the strongest countries, this group of right-wing politicians would probably turn to Putin.

Proof of this is Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban, who does not hide his sympathy for Vladimir Putin and who uses every opportunity to block something in the EU in order to help Russia. European countries face many threats to their security.

Russia continues its aggression against Ukraine, and there is speculation that it may attack other countries in the future, warns the British Telegraph. These are frequent predictions, and at yesterday's meeting in Paris, where representatives of France, Germany, Britain, USA, Poland, and Canada were present, they agreed that further Russian aggression towards the West is almost certain.

The Kremlin and Beijing, along with other actors, are actively working to undermine our security and stability. This is manifested in the theft of industrial and military secrets, cyber attacks and the conduct of so-called hybrid warfare.

Right now, while you are reading this, a real cyber war is being waged behind the scenes, which has experienced a culmination since the beginning of the war in Ukraine. Iran, which aspires to acquire nuclear weapons, uses its proxies to attack Western interests and undermine global trade flows.

Al-Qaeda is regrouping under the auspices of the Taliban in Afghanistan. Iran supports militarily and economically several militant groups that attack American and allied bases in Iraq, Syria and Libya almost every day. Internal and external forces tend to undermine our security, our prosperity and our way of life.

However, even as the sense of complacency slowly fades, our readiness to face these threats is not enough. The migration crisis continues, while with the Chinese, short-term commercial interests are often put before long-term security risks.

China is trying to balance between the West and Russia, but aside from economic interests, it is clear to everyone that the Chinese regime is on the side of the Kremlin. As Donald Trump questions the future of NATO, and Republicans in America withhold support for Ukraine, demanding that Europe contribute more to its own security, the debate over European defense capabilities seems like news from the past that cannot be ignored.

European leaders seem oblivious to the fact that, in the event of Trump's re-election victory, they may be forced to sacrifice Ukrainian territory and compromise with Russia.

The national flag of the United Kingdom and British Troops© Matt Cardy / Getty Images

There is even speculation from Republicans that they could announce their intention to leave NATO within 90 days.

Such a move would encourage Vladimir Putin, undermine trust among allies and leave Europeans with no illusions that they can count on that alliance in the future. The most important fact that politicians in Europe need to understand is that they may find themselves alone in the face of threats.

Instead, the debate, if any, is mostly focused on meeting the goal of spending two percent of GDP on defense - a target agreed a decade ago - and on choosing the next NATO secretary general. Mark Rutte, who enjoys support, is an exceptional politician who successfully copes with Trump, but the Republicans will not long ignore the fact that the Netherlands, although rich, spends only 1.7% of GDP on defense.

Although total defense spending in Europe is increasing, key countries are still lagging behind. Germany has announced an increase in its defense budget, but allocated only 1.57% of GDP for this purpose last year. France is also lagging behind, while Britain, although meeting targets, is still spending less than in previous years.

The question is no longer whether Europe can meet the two percent target, but whether it has the capacity to protect its interests. To achieve this, Europe must increase its military capabilities and invest in research and development of military technology.

For example, Italy and Spain spend more of their defense budgets on personnel compared to America, where more is spent on equipment and research. Last year, NATO member countries spent a total of $1.26 trillion on defense, but most of that amount came from the US budget.

It is therefore clear that Europe must take on a greater burden in maintaining its own security. Increased spending on defense, especially on research and development of military technology, can have a positive impact on the economy, as is the case in the United States of America.

The reality of the world we live in is that the territory of Ukraine is under occupation, and millions of people have fled because of the conflict. In order to maintain peace and security, Europe must show determination and readiness to face threats, no matter where they come from.