Super Tuesday Showdown: Biden vs. Trump Inside the Presidential Primaries

Joseph Biden and Donald Trump could gain a practically unattainable advantage after today's internal party elections in 15 federal states

by Sededin Dedovic
Super Tuesday Showdown: Biden vs. Trump Inside the Presidential Primaries
© Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

The favorites for the presidential candidates of the Democrats and Republicans in the November elections in the USA, Joseph Biden and Donald Trump, could gain an almost unattainable advantage after today's intra-party elections in 15 federal states, known as "Super Tuesday".

"Super Tuesday" is crucial because on that day primaries are held in several federal states in both dominant parties, allowing the contenders for the presidential nomination to win a large number of delegates, who at the final party conventions formally nominate candidates for president and vice president of the USA.

This day usually determines new candidates for president or at least makes a big difference depending on the period and the candidates that have been throughout history. However, today's situation tells us that we will very likely find out about new candidates very soon, and the assumptions are that Biden and Trump will make an unattainable difference compared to their competitors.

This year's primaries in both parties are not as exciting as in previous election cycles. Biden, as the head of state, has no serious opponent, while Trump, the former president of the USA (2017-2021), quickly gained a large advantage over the former ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, who was the only one left in the race against him.

However, despite Nikki Haley's initial optimism, elections in several states, including South Carolina, went in Trump's favor.

President Joe Biden listens to his introduction before speaking to police chiefs from across the country and members of his admi© Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

Good results for Biden and Trump on "Super Tuesday" would bring them significantly closer to the nomination, although neither can secure a majority of the total number of delegates today.

But that would still mean that it is very certain that we are looking at a rematch of the last presidential election. For Republicans, today's "Super Tuesday" is likely the last chance for Nikki Haley to maintain a slim chance in the race against the 77-year-old Trump, or at least to slow his path to the nomination.

Although there is a chance, it will be very difficult, and among Republicans there is an opinion that Haley has no chance and that they should vote for Trump in order to prove unity within the Republican Party. Trump has so far convincingly won the six primaries so far - in the states of Nevada, Iowa, Michigan, South Carolina and New Hampshire, as well as in the US territory of the US Virgin Islands, while he lost to Haley in Washington on March 3, in the last round before " Super Tuesday".

This is the reason for the mild optimism of Niki Haley's voters, but probably Haley herself is aware that it will amount to a miracle. After Haley lost by more than 40 percent in Michigan and by more than 20 percent in South Carolina, her home state where she was elected governor twice, Trump's team stepped up pressure on her to drop out of the race.

Haley, however, has invested a significant amount of money in the campaign and does not want to withdraw from the race until the final GOP convention in July, in case delegates are hesitant to formally nominate Trump, given that he has four indictments and those court processes will begin during the year.

Republican presidential candidate, former President Donald Trump speaks in the library at Mar-a-Lago on March 4, 2024 in Palm Be© Alon Skuy / Getty Images

The two indictments relate to Trump's attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election, in which he lost to Biden.

In the third trial, Trump was accused of concealing the payment of money to porn star Stormy Daniels, in exchange for her silence about their relationship, and in the fourth, that he illegally kept classified documents at his estate after the end of his presidential term.

After a recent painful loss in South Carolina, Haley said she was staying in the race because citizens "have a right to a real choice, not a Soviet-style, one-candidate election," adding that she "has an obligation to give them that choice." Among the Democrats, the 81-year-old Biden has so far been undefeated in the primaries since he has no serious opponent, but the American public is still speculating about the possibility of him withdrawing from the race in a few months, as the question of his cognitive abilities is increasingly being raised.

In today's primaries, a third of the total number of delegates is "at stake" in both parties - it is possible for the Republicans to win 865 of the 2,429 delegates for the final convention, and for the Democrats at least 1,420 of the 3,936.

Trump has won 244 delegates so far, and to secure the nomination at the final Republican convention in July in Milwaukee, he needs at least 1,215. This means that he would not secure the nomination even if he won all 865 delegates today, but he is expected to do so before the end of March.

For the Democrats, Biden has won 206 delegates so far, and he needs 1,968 for the nomination at the final convention in Chicago in August. Even Biden can't reach that number today, but he could also this month. And when the candidates win the required number of delegates for the nomination, the primaries continue until the beginning of June.

Donald Trump